1. While there might have been no clear winner in this week’s Iowa caucus, the Hawkeye State shook up the Democratic presidential race. A top analyst of booking trends and betting lines told Florida Daily that the odds have changed in the wake of the Iowa caucuses disaster and expects more big changes between now and November.
2. But the odds in Iowa don’t always reflect the national polls. Right now in Iowa it’s a four-horse race for the Democrats. The first in the nation caucus or primary takes place Feb. 3, 2020 in Iowa, and marks the moment where betting on candidates begins to get serious.

1. Iowa Democratic Odds Presidential
2. Iowa Democratic Odds 2019
3. Iowa Democratic Odds By Team
4. Iowa Democratic Odds Against

Apr 07, 2020 Our latest forecast for how many pledged delegates each candidate will win after all states have voted. FiveThirtyEight’s model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate, accounting for the margin of their wins and losses, plus the possibility that a trailing candidate might drop out. Pete Buttigieg is finally starting to make some legitimate noise for the Democratic nomination.Since we began looking at 2020 Presidential election odds, the expectation has always been that Joe Biden would flame out, and somebody from the Buttigieg, Beto O’Rouke, Kamala Harris group would surge. Odds update every 5 minutes Last updated: 7:56AM EST on Feb 02, 2016. Democratic Iowa Caucus Republican Iowa Caucus; 96.2%. 23.8% since Feb 1: 100%.

Bernie Sanders

Nomination: $2.54
President: $5.80

Iowa Democratic Odds Presidential

Although Sanders didn’t have the clear victory that the betting projected in Iowa, he definitely emerges as the front-runner. He’s trading below $1.20 and $1.50 to win the next races in New Hampshire and Nevada respectively. If he delivers in both, he would surely be heavily odds-on for the nomination.

Why, therefore, is he available to back above $2.50? A view that Democrat voters will eventually coalesce around a more moderate alternative. Sanders is nowhere near 50% nationally, or even it seems in New Hampshire. Even with a fast start, he may not win a majority of delegates, thus prompting speculation of a contested, or brokered, Democrat Convention.

The market will likely resist Sanders all year to some extent, because hype about an establishment stitch-up against him will proliferate. In many respects, this Democrat race is beginning to mirror the 2016 Republican race, when outsider Trump fought mulitple establishment candidates. We know how that ended. Bernie’s odds for both markets are pretty generous and likely to shorten in the weeks ahead.

Bernie Sanders

Iowa Democratic Odds 2019

Nomination: $2.54
President: $5.80

Although Sanders didn’t have the clear victory that the betting projected in Iowa, he definitely emerges as the front-runner. He’s trading below $1.20 and $1.50 to win the next races in New Hampshire and Nevada respectively. If he delivers in both, he would surely be heavily odds-on for the nomination.

Why, therefore, is he available to back above $2.50? A view that Democrat voters will eventually coalesce around a more moderate alternative. Sanders is nowhere near 50% nationally, or even it seems in New Hampshire. Even with a fast start, he may not win a majority of delegates, thus prompting speculation of a contested, or brokered, Democrat Convention.

Iowa Democratic Odds By Team

Iowa Democratic Odds Against

The market will likely resist Sanders all year to some extent, because hype about an establishment stitch-up against him will proliferate. In many respects, this Democrat race is beginning to mirror the 2016 Republican race, when outsider Trump fought mulitple establishment candidates. We know how that ended. Bernie’s odds for both markets are pretty generous and likely to shorten in the weeks ahead.